Femi Ajayi's Outlook

It is demeaning of an elder statesman, who was once the Head of State, to make statements indirectly inciting his supporters that, ''Since the leaders now don't listen to anybody but do whatever they wish, there is nothing the North can do.'' His message is very clear on election rigging; however, the messenger is the problem. ... When human blood flow in 2015 as predicted by Buhari, the oldies that have plunged Nigeria into where it is today, especially the Military Generals would be easily soaked by that blood.


Friday, May 25, 2012

Prof. Femi Ajayi


he rattling of General Buhari, who has undergone three unsuccessful presidential elections, 2003, 2007, 2011, is back with his Military gear inciting the vulnerable fragile country that, "If what happens in 2011 should again happen in 2015, by the grace of God, the dog and the baboon will all be soaked in blood." It is a clear cut picture now that the upshot of the 2011 elections, especially in the north, with the Boko Haram insurgents could be traced to the loss of the election by General Buhari.


Which ever way Buhari statement in Hausa was interpreted from "biri jini kare jinni" which means 'dog bloody monkey bloody', either bloody 'Monkey' or 'Baboon', both are lower animals. Buhari would not be talking about animals, birds, or reptiles that would 'be soaked in blood' in 2015, it is human blood, and this is unacceptable to most Nigerians.

It is demeaning of an elder statesman, who was once the Head of State, to make statements indirectly inciting his supporters that, "Since the leaders now don't listen to anybody but do whatever they wish, there is nothing the North can do."

His message is very clear on election rigging; however, the messenger is the problem. If a cleric talked about the outcome of election rigging outcome, possibly Nigerians would have started praying for God to spare Nigeria another blood bath. Most Nigerians want free and fair election not the type of the deceit of PDP style of lack of internal democracy primary elections conducted in April 2011.

When human blood flow in 2015 as predicted by Buhari, the oldies that have plunged Nigeria into where it is today, especially the Military Generals would be easily soaked by that blood. Buhari NEVER gotten beyond 32.19%, in each of the elections.

In 2003, Olusegun Obasanjo People's Democratic Party got 61.94% of 24,456,140 votes; Muhammadu Buhari, All Nigeria People's Party scored 32.9% with a total of 12,710,022 votes; Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu, All Progressives Grand Alliance got 3.29% of the votes that made up 1,297,445 votes.

In 2007, Umaru Yar'Adua, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) got 24,638,063 votes that made up of 69.82%; while Muhammadu Buhari, All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) got 6,605,299 votes that made up 18.72%; while Atiku Abubakar, Action Congress (AC) 2,637,848 votes that made up of 7.47%

In 2011, Goodluck Jonathan 22,495,187 that made up 58.89%; Muhammadu Buhari of CPC collected 12,214,853 peoples votes of 31.98%; while Nuhu Ribadu of ACN got vote of 2,079,151 votes with 5.41%.

2011 Nigeria Presidential election result                     PDP Ruling for the next 60 years

In his report card, his first outing gave him 32.9%, he repeated the same class and made 18.72%, his third attempt, with the hope that he might have learned so much from the previous classes, repeated notes, same Lecturer, he still made 31.98%; Whosoever is the head of that school should put Buhari on an academic probation or withdraw from the school and go and find something else to do. Nigerian electorates have given Buhari a political presidential Yellow Card and he is not accepting the people's verdict and wants to resort into bloody revolution., which he has not denounced,

Should issues be resolved through violence? If Nigerians failed to elect Buhari, does he want to impose himself on the country through blood shedding? Where are Buhari's children in all these wahala he is brewing for Nigeria? What about members of his immediate family?

Unfortunately he is inciting the children of the other Nigerians to shed blood of innocent Nigerians. Not in this century. Buhari should stop behaving as if he has the monopoly or custodian of knowledge.

With the unstoppable activities of Boko Haram, as a spill over of April 2011 elections; part of the spill over of the failed course of Buhari, is the support coming from the nineteen Northern States Governors backing Buhari's utterances. Possibly the battle line has been drawn, to follow the political school scores, or take law into their hands.

We should note that Nigeria is going through transformation phase. Despots, dictators and gruesome coup plotters should be told to shelve their swords and allow democracy to manifest in Nigeria.

Buhari should be reminded, if he checks his political class notes very well, that different political parties, across the world, have different methods of rigging elections. Unfortunately election rigging was part of Nigeria handover note since Nigeria Independence (1960), even though the practice has taken a new dimension, not as open as it used to be.

The key election riggers in Nigeria today are PDP, ACN so also CPC. The degree or rigging depends on the number of party members. CPC rigged through goats, cattle, sheep and underage voters at the polling stations.

Most Nigerians want to elect candidates of their choice for any public office. Nigerians want to see internal democracy practiced by all Nigerian political parties, as cleverly advised by General Azazi, the President Chief Security Adviser.

Is Buhari not a retired Commander-in-Chief? Why is he daring the current Commander-In-Chief to arrest him? Whatever happens to prudence, and where is the spirit de corps? Is this how an elder statesman should conduct himself; contribute to the progress of the society; address the fundamental issues surrounding security matters in the country; gain positive peoples popularity; win an election under democratic setting; support any government in power in the face of disintegration? What should be the modality for civility in contributing to the Country's growth? Must everything be our ways always? Has Buhari gone beyond the call of duty to his motherland?

One of the political courses he failed, as the former Head of State, is Conflict Management and Resolution. He refused to accept the sensitivity of security issues. Buhari should learn how to control the conflict within, without making any public pronouncement that would ignite the leaking gas in Nigerian nerves.

Unfortunately his handlers are not doing him any favor on this subject. He has problem identifying with democracy.

As a Colonel, Buhari, in the Nigerian army, in 1975, joined other Colonels, Abdullahi Mohammed (then Director DMI), Joseph Nanven Garba, Shehu Musa Yar'Adua & Ibrahim Taiwo, conspired and overthrew General Yakubu Gowon after which they transferred power to General Murtala Mohammed as Head of State. It is obvious that Buhari is so thirsty of blood that wants a revolution in a democracy he once maimed in 1983 by overthrowing a democratically elected Shagari's administration.

Will it come to pass that the politicians like Buhari, with their spineless, ultra corrupt, amoral, rudderless, clueless, empty headed joke of a regime will for once pick the guts to carry out this threat of blood soaking in 2015 to change PDP projection? We can't wait for the full legalization of the reign of roaches, election fraudsters, maggots, pimps and scoundrels to whom Buhari's poignant statement is giving sleepless night.

Is Buhari the Prophet of doom to actualize United States prediction of the demise of Nigeria in 2015? Buhari could be one of those Nigerian that masquerade leaders who have murdered sleep and they shall sleep no more.

The election of 1993, which was free and fair, was annulled and that has left Nigeria battered democracy for some time. Nigerians are edgy with the PDP approach to dictatorial democracy as winners takes all, and those that dare challenge their approach of not too democratic practices within PDP are severely embarrassed and disgraced.

There is no political office holder in Nigeria that is clean from corrupt practices as Nigeria system of governance is infested with corruption, which cut across the Executive, Legislative and the Judiciary, including the 4th Edition, Nigeria Cash and Carry Media.

It is very difficult for the leopard to change its color regardless the acidic rainfall. Some Nigerians could be fuming that what Buhari said was not different from what is on the ground (May 2012). Nonetheless the concern with most Nigerians is that a former head of state should know that security is a very sensitive issue. In addition, the country is so fragile now (2012) that comments from such a national figure, could further escalate already charged atmosphere, especially from the north.

He got it twisted when he insinuated "bloodbath" in 2015 at such a time when the org of violence (in most parts of northern Nigeria) that heralded the election of President Goodluck Jonathan in April 2011, is still fresh in the mind of Nigerians. With the wide spread belief that Boko Haram is a sponsored terrorist organization, with a mandate to destabilize the government of President Goodluck Jonathan and make Nigeria ungovernable, Buhari could have gone beyond a regional leader who speaks for only a part of the country and be an Elder Statesman. To win national election in Nigeria, a political party has to show its strong presence in all the thirty six States.

The fact that Buhari keeps putting up himself for election every season, shows that he is a ruler, not a leader.

In Accounting, depreciation is the loss in value of an asset due to usage, passage of time, or obsolescence. Buhari's usefulness in Nigeria is obsolete. Someone who cannot control his temper when he lost an election, how do you expect Nigerians to entrust the management of Nigerian affairs into his hand?

Before a Military man could operate in the civilian outfit, he has to completely throw away his orientation which could be very difficult. Baba Iyabo used bold-face throughout his 1999-2007 administration.

By the time Buhari ought to have called for revolution, he kept quiet. With so many atrocities committed by one of the most despot African leaders, under who he served at PTF Boss, he funnelled 20% PTF proceeds to the military, as directed by Abacha. General Buhari did not call for a revolution when Abacha killer squads eliminated innocent Nigerians for opposing his regime. When Abacha suddenly decided to retire and automatically became civilian president, General Buhari did not call for 'the dog and the baboon' blood soaking.

He jailed two Guardian journalists, one year each, for publishing in The Guardian Newspaper of April 1 & 8, 1984, with the headlines "Eight Military Chiefs Tipped as Ambassadors" and "Haruna to Replace Hannaniya". What could have been their punishment if they had called for a revolution then?

Why is it this time when democracy is taking its shape in Nigeria; because he could not win peoples' vote with his election report cards, he has to go the other way to get peoples' mandate through revolution. This is unfortunate in this century when countries around the world are struggling to improve their economies, all he has in mind is "the dog and the baboon will all be soaked in blood"

Definitely a thief knows the path of a fellow thief on the rock. It is interesting for anyone to call the President Boko Haram when, in January 2012, Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan told a bewildered nation still smarting from murderous Bombings, that his government has been infiltrated by Boko Haram. Possibly insinuating that since President Jonathan is the national leader of PDP, he is allegedly Boko Haram?

The pot calling kettle black; what would Buhari have to say to the killings of non-indigenes massacred in the north, except the continuous blood flow? Ironically, Buhari never condemned the aftermath of April 2011 election violence in the north with the loss of life of some NYSC members on national assignment. Buhari has refused to make a statement about Boko Haram insurgents.

Regardless of what is happening in the corrupt-laden public service, the President would be blamed for every challenge in the country. Nigerians should appreciate and recognize the efforts being made by the government on oil subsidy which is the bane of corruption in Nigeria. Each administration has its different democratic approaches in resolving some challenges facing its administration.

A fall out of Buhari's outbursts is the National Chairman of PDP, Dr. Tukur, unapologetic statement that Boko Haram is fighting for justice. Is it justice to destroy properties and human beings? No one is calling for his resignation, burning of churches and killing innocent southerners is justice that Dr. Tukur is authenticating.

The attack on INEC Chairman, Prof. Jega, at the palace of Emir of Kazaure, Alhaji Najib Hussaini Adamu, in Jigawa State, signalled the effect of seed of discord Buhari has planted in destabilizing the country. He would possibly sneak out to Niger Republic when it actually occurred. The youth in Yobe chanted, "You cheated us, you cheated the North, you declared false result, you denied General Buhari the chance to be the president of Nigeria, it was injustice, we will not forgive you".

Buhari should not be too comfortable with the Action Congress of Nigeria rhetoric on the 2015 blood soaking. History will play it back to him that ACN would be the first to back out when the real human blood start flowing on the streets of Ogun, Lagos, Ekiti, Oyo, Edo and Osun States. Then CPC will continue with its Boko Haram destructive activities, if it still exists then.

Nigerians are howling that going through the anguish of assassinations, executions and violent take-over of power are things of the past. They want their average life spam to get over 48.3 years to 70 years. The 2011 elections brought in Jonathan with 58.3% against Buhari of 31.98% to power through the goodwill of Nigerians and the powers of destiny; not through barrel of guns, armoured tanks and armed soldiers.

Buhari is a man desperate for political power who has consistently showed himself as divisive person who did not even campaign in the south in 2011 elections. He has to work on his failed assignments, the quizzes he cheated on; the term paper a friend wrote for him; and his plagiarized project paper, before his graduation. Time is tickling for his 'academic' period.

Could we conclude that Buhari from all his utterances, in all honesty, is a sectional leader?

What he has to do, to counter any plan to rig 2015 elections, is to enter into alliances with other political parties to strategize on winning national elections.

The entire rattling would not dislodge PDP that has been thespian to retain the central government for about 60 years. PDP has the resources to keep on winning the elections for some decades to come if there is no strong opposition party to challenge and convince the electorates that the opposing party could be trusted.

Regardless how we treat Buhari's uncouth statement, Jonathan has to sit up and give Nigerians adequate security, decimating Boko Haram. Arresting him is not the answer; Security agencies should caution him on his public utterances.

Professor Femi Ajayi is Head, Political Science and Public Administration Department, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State